Gornik Zabrze 2-3 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-12.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.26/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.45
+23% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Karvina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
26.06.2019 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 2-1 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina HAZ
13.01.2018 Karvina Karvina 2-2 HT 2-2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze HAZ
10.07.2015 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
2-3
AWAY Karvina
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gornik Zabrze vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina edged past Gornik Zabrze 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gornik Zabrze at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 52% of the ball to Karvina's 48%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 1.00 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Karvina?

Gornik Zabrze 2-3 Karvina in the Friendlies on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 43%, draw 26%, Karvina 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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