Botev Plovdiv 2-2 Maritsa Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritsa Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 32%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
2-2
AWAY Maritsa Plovdiv
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Maritsa Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv and Maritsa Plovdiv couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Botev Plovdiv at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 51% of the ball to Maritsa Plovdiv's 49%, shots finished 18-15.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Maritsa Plovdiv?

Botev Plovdiv 2-2 Maritsa Plovdiv in the Friendlies on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Maritsa Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 43%, draw 30%, Maritsa Plovdiv 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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