Malacateco 0-2 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 3 Aug 2024

Malacateco
0-2 HT 0-1
Achuapa
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2025/2026

Malacateco vs Achuapa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malacateco v Achuapa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.57/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.06
-4% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Malacateco vs Achuapa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Achuapa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
06.11.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 3-2 HT 2-2 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
30.04.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
02.03.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 4-3 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
06.11.2022 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
28.08.2022 Achuapa Achuapa 2-1 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa saw off Malacateco 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Malacateco at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Achuapa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Malacateco and 1.67 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Achuapa?

Malacateco 0-2 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 48%, draw 26%, Achuapa 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Malacateco), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malacateco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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