Achuapa 2-0 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 14 Apr 2024

Achuapa
2-0 HT 1-0
Malacateco
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2023/2024

Achuapa vs Malacateco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Achuapa v Malacateco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.55/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.60
-5% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Achuapa vs Malacateco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Malacateco
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.11.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 3-2 HT 2-2 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
30.04.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
02.03.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 4-3 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
06.11.2022 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
28.08.2022 Achuapa Achuapa 2-1 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
09.02.2022 Achuapa Achuapa 2-1 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa beat Malacateco 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Achuapa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Achuapa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Achuapa and 1.50 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Malacateco?

Achuapa 2-0 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 48%, draw 28%, Malacateco 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Achuapa), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Achuapa) ✓ Under 2.5
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