Antigua GFC 1-0 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -2%
1.87/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.17
+17% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Xelaju MC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-1 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
28.05.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 3-0 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
25.05.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
23.04.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-3 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
26.02.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
02.10.2022 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-2 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC edged past Xelaju MC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Antigua GFC and 1.33 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Xelaju MC?

Antigua GFC 1-0 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 49%, draw 31%, Xelaju MC 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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