Zacapa Tellioz 2-0 Coatepeque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Coatepeque EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.32/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.48
+30% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zacapa Tellioz
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Coatepeque
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Coatepeque 0-1 HT 0-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
POST-MATCH Zacapa Tellioz vs Coatepeque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zacapa Tellioz got the better of Coatepeque 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zacapa Tellioz as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Zacapa Tellioz vs Coatepeque?

Zacapa Tellioz 2-0 Coatepeque in the Guatemala - National League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zacapa Tellioz vs Coatepeque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zacapa Tellioz win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Zacapa Tellioz 57%, draw 25%, Coatepeque 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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