HNK Gorica 0-0 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 3 Aug 2024

HNK Gorica
0-0 HT 0-0
NK Varazdin
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2024/2025

HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HNK Gorica v NK Varazdin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.15/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.12
+26% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
16.7 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Gorica
2W-1D-3L
AWAY NK Varazdin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.37 xG 1.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
258 Passes 365
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.03.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-4 HT 1-2 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
15.12.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-3 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
30.09.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
23.07.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-1 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
20.05.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 5-2 HT 2-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
17.03.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-1 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR

HNK Gorica 0-0 NK Varazdin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Gorica
0-0
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.21 xG 1.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 21
0 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
395 Passes 352
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Gorica and NK Varazdin fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, HNK Gorica had 53% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 47%, shots finished 5-21, expected goals 0.21 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for HNK Gorica and 1.83 for NK Varazdin.

What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?

HNK Gorica 0-0 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?

Before kick-off our model rated an NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 35%, draw 28%, NK Varazdin 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (NK Varazdin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NK Varazdin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →