Kairat 4-1 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Yelimay Semey
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.05.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-1 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat swept aside Yelimay Semey 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Yelimay Semey?

Kairat 4-1 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kairat 44%, draw 27%, Yelimay Semey 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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