19/05/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
41%
32%
Draw
30%
37%
Away Win
30%
67%
Under 2.5
58%
33%
Over 2.5
42%
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
61%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Yelimay Semey v Kairat — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Yelimay Semey
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kairat
EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% /
-3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+21% /
+23%
0.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.82/1.13
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+65%
/
+2%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
322 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
328 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Yelimay Semey vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Yelimay Semey and Kairat shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Kairat?
Yelimay Semey 1-1 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Kairat?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 31%, draw 32%, Kairat 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kairat), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Kairat)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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KAZP
More Kazakistan - Super League
19 May 2024