CA La Paz 2-2 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 54%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.38/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.95
+23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
236 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Atlante
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.02.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
17.08.2023 Atlante Atlante 3-0 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
13.04.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-2 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
01.07.2022 Atlante Atlante 3-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz and Atlante shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atlante at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for CA La Paz and 2.00 for Atlante.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Atlante?

CA La Paz 2-2 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 26%, draw 25%, Atlante 48%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atlante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
3 Aug 2024
04:00 CDS Tampico Madero vs Venados Analysis →
04:00 Mineros de Zacatecas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Analysis →