Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.3pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.5pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
2.28/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.97
+30% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 14
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 5
29.02.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
12.08.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
22.03.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-6 HT 2-3 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
11.08.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 HT 2-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
23.02.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 4-2 HT 2-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
15.09.2021 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-1 HT 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
POST-MATCH Mineros de Zacatecas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas swept aside Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mineros de Zacatecas as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mineros de Zacatecas and 2.33 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

What was the final score of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 55%, draw 19%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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