Kjelsas 3-4 Grorud IL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.52
2-3 Goals
42%
2.01
4-5 Goals
23%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.0pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kjelsas EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Grorud IL EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.15/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.01
+12% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +84%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
439 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kjelsas
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Grorud IL
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
44% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Grorud IL Grorud IL 1-3 HT 0-2 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
07.10.2023 Kjelsas Kjelsas 1-1 HT 0-0 Grorud IL Grorud IL NOR3
17.06.2023 Grorud IL Grorud IL 0-1 HT 0-0 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
01.08.2021 Kjelsas Kjelsas 0-1 HT 0-0 Grorud IL Grorud IL NOK
28.09.2019 Kjelsas Kjelsas 4-0 HT 2-0 Grorud IL Grorud IL NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kjelsas
3-4
AWAY Grorud IL
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kjelsas vs Grorud IL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grorud IL edged past Kjelsas 4-3 away from home. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kjelsas at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kjelsas had 36% of the ball to Grorud IL's 64%, shots finished 12-18.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kjelsas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Kjelsas and 0.60 for Grorud IL.

What was the final score of Kjelsas vs Grorud IL?

Kjelsas 3-4 Grorud IL in the Norway - 2nd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kjelsas vs Grorud IL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kjelsas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kjelsas 42%, draw 25%, Grorud IL 33%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kjelsas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kjelsas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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