Grorud IL 1-3 Kjelsas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grorud IL EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kjelsas EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +3%
1.35/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.27
-20% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
287 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grorud IL
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Kjelsas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
07.10.2023 Kjelsas Kjelsas 1-1 HT 0-0 Grorud IL Grorud IL NOR3
17.06.2023 Grorud IL Grorud IL 0-1 HT 0-0 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
01.08.2021 Kjelsas Kjelsas 0-1 HT 0-0 Grorud IL Grorud IL NOK
28.09.2019 Kjelsas Kjelsas 4-0 HT 2-0 Grorud IL Grorud IL NOR3
POST-MATCH Grorud IL vs Kjelsas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kjelsas got the better of Grorud IL 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Kjelsas found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kjelsas led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Grorud IL and 1.50 for Kjelsas.

What was the final score of Grorud IL vs Kjelsas?

Grorud IL 1-3 Kjelsas in the Norway - 2nd Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grorud IL vs Kjelsas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grorud IL win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grorud IL 38%, draw 27%, Kjelsas 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grorud IL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grorud IL) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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