12/05/2024
·
14:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-1
Junkeren vs Skeid Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55
— our 30% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
24%
Draw
23%
48%
Away Win
52%
50%
Under 2.5
41%
50%
Over 2.5
59%
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
51%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Junkeren v Skeid — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Junkeren
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Skeid
EU Bookmakers 56%
-40% /
-40%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+16% /
+16%
1.41/3.81
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.95/0.46
+7%
/
-53%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-1%
/
+150%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
292 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
412 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Junkeren vs Skeid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Skeid beat Junkeren 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Skeid as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Junkeren vs Skeid?
Junkeren 0-2 Skeid in the Norway - 2nd Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Junkeren vs Skeid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Skeid win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Junkeren 28%, draw 24%, Skeid 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skeid), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Skeid)
✓ BTTS No
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NOR3
More Norway - 2nd Division
12 May 2024