Hodd 2-1 Vard Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.8
6+ Goals
9%
7.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hodd EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.23/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.74
-36% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 172 · 61%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hodd
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Vard Haugesund
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
28.07.2013 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 2-2 HT 0-1 Hodd Hodd NOR1
09.06.2013 Hodd Hodd 0-2 HT 0-1 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR1
04.07.2004 Hodd Hodd 3-0 HT 2-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hodd
2-1
AWAY Vard Haugesund
75% Ball Possession 25%
21 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hodd vs Vard Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hodd squeezed past Vard Haugesund 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hodd as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Hodd had 75% of the ball to Vard Haugesund's 25%, shots finished 21-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hodd and 1.33 for Vard Haugesund.

What was the final score of Hodd vs Vard Haugesund?

Hodd 2-1 Vard Haugesund in the Norway - 2nd Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hodd vs Vard Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hodd win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hodd 47%, draw 24%, Vard Haugesund 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hodd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hodd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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