İspanya (K) 2-2 Kolombiya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 3 Aug 2024

İspanya (K)
2-2 HT 0-1
Kolombiya (K)
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Olympics – 2024

İspanya (K) vs Kolombiya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
23%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.07
2-3 Goals
36%
2.2
4-5 Goals
26%
2.45
6+ Goals
17%
4.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.41
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
24.0
X/1
15%
3.64
X/2
10%
22.3
X/X
8%
9.95
2/1
7%
20.0
2/2
5%
15.25
2/X
4%
22.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-15.1pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.0pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İspanya (K) v Kolombiya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.29/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.97
-20% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% / -28%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
520 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
25.0 Crosses 10.0
2.0 Yellow Cards –

İspanya (K) 2-2 Kolombiya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya (K)
2-2
AWAY Kolombiya (K)
2.55 xG 1.05
77% Ball Possession 23%
33 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 2
836 Passes 176
88% Pass Accuracy 62%
54 Box Touches 8
58 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İspanya (K) vs Kolombiya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya (K) and Kolombiya (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had İspanya (K) at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, İspanya (K) had 77% of the ball to Kolombiya (K)'s 23%, shots finished 33-7, expected goals 2.55 to 1.05.

What was the final score of İspanya (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

İspanya (K) 2-2 Kolombiya (K) in the Olympics on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split İspanya (K) 58%, draw 19%, Kolombiya (K) 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İspanya (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İspanya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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