Fransa (K) 0-1 Brezilya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 3 Aug 2024

Fransa (K)
0-1 HT 0-0
Brezilya (K)
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Olympics – 2024

Fransa (K) vs Brezilya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.47
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.33
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.8
X/1
17%
3.78
X/2
10%
8.96
X/X
6%
4.36
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
13%
7.72
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
16.65
Value flag · 2/X at 16.65 — our 11% vs market 3.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fransa (K) v Brezilya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
-73% / -73% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-47% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Fransa (K) vs Brezilya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fransa (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Brezilya (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.48 xG 0.97
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
340 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) KDK
23.06.2019 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) KDK
10.11.2018 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) HAZ

Fransa (K) 0-1 Brezilya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa (K)
0-1
AWAY Brezilya (K)
2.29 xG 1.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
249 Passes 161
72% Pass Accuracy 62%
27 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fransa (K) vs Brezilya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya (K) squeezed past Fransa (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fransa (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fransa (K) had 58% of the ball to Brezilya (K)'s 42%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 2.29 to 1.72 — on chances, Fransa (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fransa (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Fransa (K) and 1.00 for Brezilya (K).

What was the final score of Fransa (K) vs Brezilya (K)?

Fransa (K) 0-1 Brezilya (K) in the Olympics on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa (K) vs Brezilya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fransa (K) 48%, draw 24%, Brezilya (K) 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fransa (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fransa (K)) ✓ Under 2.5
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