Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Comerciantes Unidos v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
5-1
HT 2-1
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
3-0
HT 2-0
Alianza Lima
PER
1-1
HT 1-1
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
2-0
HT 0-0
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
Comerciantes Unidos 1-3 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima saw off Comerciantes Unidos 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 45% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 55%, shots finished 3-16, expected goals 0.06 to 1.93.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 2.17 for Alianza Lima.
What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima?
Comerciantes Unidos 1-3 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 19%, draw 29%, Alianza Lima 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.