Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Comerciantes Unidos — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
5-1
HT 2-1
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
3-0
HT 2-0
Alianza Lima
PER
1-1
HT 1-1
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
2-0
HT 0-0
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
Alianza Lima 5-1 Comerciantes Unidos — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima ran out comfortable winners over Comerciantes Unidos 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 60% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 40%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 4.61 to 0.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza Lima and 1.00 for Comerciantes Unidos.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Alianza Lima 5-1 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 60%, draw 23%, Comerciantes Unidos 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.