Deportivo Garcilaso 2-0 Cesar Vallejo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
0.95/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.19
+16% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
10.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
14.6 Crosses 18.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.77 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
257 Passes 312
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.08.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 HT 1-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
11.04.2023 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
2-0
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
1.36 xG 0.73
49% Ball Possession 51%
31 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
240 Passes 245
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cesar Vallejo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso got the better of Cesar Vallejo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Garcilaso as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 49% of the ball to Cesar Vallejo's 51%, shots finished 31-10, expected goals 1.36 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.50 for Cesar Vallejo.

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cesar Vallejo?

Deportivo Garcilaso 2-0 Cesar Vallejo in the Peru - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cesar Vallejo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 48%, draw 26%, Cesar Vallejo 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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