Cultural San 1-2 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.7pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
0.52/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.44
+41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.0 Crosses 19.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
1-2
AWAY Cienciano
0.82 xG 2.05
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
248 Passes 232
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 30
27 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano nicked a narrow win over Cultural San 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cultural San at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cultural San had 51% of the ball to Cienciano's 49%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.82 to 2.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cienciano's control.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Cienciano?

Cultural San 1-2 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural San win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 44%, draw 23%, Cienciano 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cultural San) ✗ BTTS No
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