Akron 0-2 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.21
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.58 — our 29% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.61
1/2
7%
21.3
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
16%
8.28
X/2
12%
4.47
X/X
10%
5.65
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.38
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-7.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 55%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
0.56/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.14
-15% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
12.0 Crosses 14.5
7.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 29
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-0 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
0-2
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
0.38 xG 2.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 8
333 Passes 326
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
33 Box Touches 38
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Akron vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow saw off Akron 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Akron had 51% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 49%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 0.38 to 2.44.

What was the final score of Akron vs Dinamo Moscow?

Akron 0-2 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Akron 32%, draw 26%, Dinamo Moscow 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow)
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