Zenit St. Petersburg 5-0 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 3 Aug 2024

Zenit St. Petersburg
5-0 HT 4-0
Rostov
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rostov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 34% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.99
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.1
X/1
13%
3.73
X/2
7%
11.0
X/X
17%
5.33
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
9%
8.92
2/X
7%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.3pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.1pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Rostov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.84/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.63
+13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.2 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rostov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Rostov
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.75 xG 0.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
398 Passes 253
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.05.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
29.07.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
16.04.2023 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
02.10.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
03.12.2021 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-2 HT 1-2 Rostov Rostov RUS
01.08.2021 Rostov Rostov 2-4 HT 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS

Zenit St. Petersburg 5-0 Rostov — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
5-0
AWAY Rostov
3.18 xG 1.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 Passes 437
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg ran out comfortable winners over Rostov 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 45% of the ball to Rostov's 55%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 3.18 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 1.17 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rostov?

Zenit St. Petersburg 5-0 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 49%, draw 29%, Rostov 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
3 Aug 2024
15:00 Akron vs Dinamo Moscow Analysis →
20:00 Rubin Kazan vs Khimki Analysis →