Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-12.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.0pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+15.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-15.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.5pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
2.22/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.05
+31% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
35.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
21.9 Crosses 12.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Rostov
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.95 xG 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
417 Passes 267
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.07.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
16.04.2023 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
02.10.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
03.12.2021 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-2 HT 1-2 Rostov Rostov RUS
01.08.2021 Rostov Rostov 2-4 HT 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
27.02.2021 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-2 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2-1
AWAY Rostov
1.84 xG 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
287 Passes 256
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg squeezed past Rostov 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 51% of the ball to Rostov's 49%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.84 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 1.33 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rostov?

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 56%, draw 22%, Rostov 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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