FK Orenburg 0-0 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.6pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Orenburg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
1.71/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.23
+9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
26.1 Crosses 16.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Orenburg
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.15 xG 1.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
278 Passes 359
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 40
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-1 HT 1-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUK
29.11.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
23.07.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-2 HT 1-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
18.03.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
31.07.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 4-1 HT 3-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
14.03.2020 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-3 HT 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Orenburg
0-0
AWAY Spartak Moskova
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
250 Passes 386
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Orenburg vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Orenburg and Spartak Moskova fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FK Orenburg had 59% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 41%, shots finished 15-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FK Orenburg and 2.17 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of FK Orenburg vs Spartak Moskova?

FK Orenburg 0-0 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Orenburg vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FK Orenburg 35%, draw 29%, Spartak Moskova 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spartak Moskova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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