Spartak Moskova vs FK Orenburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Moskova v FK Orenburg — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Moskova vs FK Orenburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Spartak Moskova
RUK
3-2
HT 1-0
FK Orenburg
RUS
2-0
HT 2-0
Spartak Moskova
RUS
4-1
HT 3-0
FK Orenburg
RUS
1-3
HT 1-1
Spartak Moskova
RUS
1-2
HT 0-1
FK Orenburg
RUS
Spartak Moskova 3-1 FK Orenburg — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Moskova saw off FK Orenburg 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Spartak Moskova had 58% of the ball to FK Orenburg's 42%, shots finished 15-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Spartak Moskova and 1.50 for FK Orenburg.
What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs FK Orenburg?
Spartak Moskova 3-1 FK Orenburg in the Russia - Cup on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs FK Orenburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 54%, draw 22%, FK Orenburg 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.