Mladost Lucani 2-1 Jedinstvo Ub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.62/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.64
-8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
43.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.1 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
2-1
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub
1.32 xG 0.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
325 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs Jedinstvo Ub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani edged past Jedinstvo Ub 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mladost Lucani as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 53% of the ball to Jedinstvo Ub's 47%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.32 to 0.94.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs Jedinstvo Ub?

Mladost Lucani 2-1 Jedinstvo Ub in the Serbia - Super League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs Jedinstvo Ub?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mladost Lucani win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 52%, draw 29%, Jedinstvo Ub 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mladost Lucani) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mladost Lucani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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