Novi Pazar 0-0 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-11.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.28/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.10
-23% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +102% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.4 Crosses 26.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
1W-0D-1L
AWAY OFK Beograd
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
31.08.2014 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 3-2 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
15.03.2014 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
0-0
AWAY OFK Beograd
1.19 xG 0.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
319 Passes 303
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar and OFK Beograd fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 51% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 49%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.19 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.50 for OFK Beograd.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?

Novi Pazar 0-0 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 38%, draw 30%, OFK Beograd 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Novi Pazar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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