Galatasaray 0-5 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super Cup, 3 Aug 2024

Galatasaray
0-5 HT 0-1
Beşiktaş
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super Cup – 2024/2025

Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
3.97
6+ Goals
10%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 35% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.31
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
15%
5.05
X/2
13%
6.33
X/X
11%
4.09
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
11%
4.58
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.6pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Galatasaray v Beşiktaş — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.18/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.17
-50% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 0.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
294 Passes 304
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
21.10.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
30.04.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-1 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
05.11.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
14.03.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 2-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
25.10.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL

Galatasaray 0-5 Beşiktaş — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
0-5
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.43 xG 2.74
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
370 Passes 228
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş ran out comfortable winners over Galatasaray 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Galatasaray at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Galatasaray had 60% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 40%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.43 to 2.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Galatasaray and 1.33 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş?

Galatasaray 0-5 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super Cup on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 42%, draw 24%, Beşiktaş 35%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Galatasaray), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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