Kryvbas KR 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
2.1
Over
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
44%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Kryvbas KR win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.0pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.6pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 14%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
2.01/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.10
-4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
20.04.2024 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-2 HT 1-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
08.10.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 1-0 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
27.09.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 2-1 HT 0-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKRK
23.04.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 2-3 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
02.12.2022 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
POST-MATCH Kryvbas KR vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kryvbas KR nicked a narrow win over Chornomorets Odessa 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kryvbas KR as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kryvbas KR had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Kryvbas KR and 1.20 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Kryvbas KR 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 58%, draw 23%, Chornomorets Odessa 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kryvbas KR), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kryvbas KR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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