Chornomorets Odessa 1-2 Kryvbas KR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 52%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.08/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.96/0.46
+6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +129%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Kryvbas KR
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
08.10.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 1-0 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
27.09.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 2-1 HT 0-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKRK
23.04.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 2-3 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
02.12.2022 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Kryvbas KR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kryvbas KR squeezed past Chornomorets Odessa 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kryvbas KR as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 1.25 for Kryvbas KR.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Kryvbas KR?

Chornomorets Odessa 1-2 Kryvbas KR in the Ukraine - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Kryvbas KR?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 31%, draw 21%, Kryvbas KR 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kryvbas KR), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kryvbas KR) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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