Vorskla Poltava 0-2 Kolos Kovalivka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.44
Over 2.5
32%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
38%
-10.3pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
66%
+2.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
34%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.2pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.08/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.82
-8% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vorskla Poltava
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
29.05.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-0 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
19.11.2022 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-2 HT 0-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
24.09.2021 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 HT 0-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
24.04.2021 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 3-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
22.11.2020 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 3-0 HT 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava vs Kolos Kovalivka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolos Kovalivka saw off Vorskla Poltava 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 39%) promised a tight game; Kolos Kovalivka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vorskla Poltava had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vorskla Poltava and 0.67 for Kolos Kovalivka.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Vorskla Poltava 0-2 Kolos Kovalivka in the Ukraine - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolos Kovalivka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 28%, draw 33%, Kolos Kovalivka 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolos Kovalivka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kolos Kovalivka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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