Borussia Dortmund II 2-2 Sportfreunde Siegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Aug 2025

Borussia Dortmund II
2-2 HT 0-1
Sportfreunde Siegen
📅03/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Siegen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Borussia Dortmund II v Sportfreunde Siegen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportfreunde Siegen EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Siegen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund II and Sportfreunde Siegen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Borussia Dortmund II at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Siegen?

Borussia Dortmund II 2-2 Sportfreunde Siegen in the Germany - Regional League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Siegen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund II 53%, draw 24%, Sportfreunde Siegen 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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