Meuselwitz 1-1 Babelsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.97
Over 2.5
40%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.66
No
60%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
47%
+13.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
53%
-13.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
56%
-15.8pp
60%
BTTS No
44%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.41/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.31
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meuselwitz
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Babelsberg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
29.11.2024 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
30.07.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-1 HT 1-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
01.04.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 0-3 HT 0-3 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
14.10.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 3-0 HT 2-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
15.05.2022 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-1 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
27.11.2021 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-2 HT 0-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Meuselwitz vs Babelsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meuselwitz and Babelsberg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Meuselwitz at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Babelsberg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Meuselwitz and 1.67 for Babelsberg.

What was the final score of Meuselwitz vs Babelsberg?

Meuselwitz 1-1 Babelsberg in the Germany - Regional League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meuselwitz vs Babelsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meuselwitz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Meuselwitz 43%, draw 24%, Babelsberg 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Meuselwitz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Meuselwitz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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