Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
7%
9.57
Draw
12%
5.28
Away
81%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
2%
X/2
32%
X/X
3%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
7%
Home Win
7%
+0.3pp
12%
Draw
15%
-2.7pp
80%
Away Win
78%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Epitsentr Dunayivtsi EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 84%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/0.63
+43% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +15%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
279 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0-1
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
44% Ball Possession 56%
2 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk nicked a narrow win over Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi had 44% of the ball to Shakhtar Donetsk's 56%, shots finished 2-10.

What was the final score of Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 7%, draw 12%, Shakhtar Donetsk 80%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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