Karpaty Lviv 0-2 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.70/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.12
+47% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karpaty Lviv
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Polessya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2025 Polessya Polessya 1-1 HT 0-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
28.09.2024 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-3 HT 1-2 Polessya Polessya UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karpaty Lviv
0-2
AWAY Polessya
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karpaty Lviv vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya saw off Karpaty Lviv 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Polessya made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Karpaty Lviv had 47% of the ball to Polessya's 53%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Polessya led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Karpaty Lviv and 2.00 for Polessya.

What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs Polessya?

Karpaty Lviv 0-2 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karpaty Lviv win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 39%, draw 29%, Polessya 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Karpaty Lviv), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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