Karpaty Lviv 1-3 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

Karpaty Lviv
1-3 HT 1-2
Polessya
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Ukraine - Premier League – 2024/2025

Karpaty Lviv vs Polessya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.4pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karpaty Lviv v Polessya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 46%
-12% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.86/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.97
-15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
202 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Karpaty Lviv vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya saw off Karpaty Lviv 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Polessya as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs Polessya?

Karpaty Lviv 1-3 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 27%, draw 32%, Polessya 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UKR More Ukraine - Premier League
28 Sep 2024
00:00 LNZ Cherkasy vs Chornomorets Odessa Analysis →
13:00 Kryvbas KR vs Oleksandria Analysis →