LNZ Cherkasy 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LNZ Cherkasy EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 21%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.00/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.28
-47% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
412 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LNZ Cherkasy
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Corners 2
03.12.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-3 HT 0-0 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy UKR
30.07.2023 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 0-2 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
POST-MATCH LNZ Cherkasy vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LNZ Cherkasy and Chornomorets Odessa shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. LNZ Cherkasy carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for LNZ Cherkasy and 1.50 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of LNZ Cherkasy vs Chornomorets Odessa?

LNZ Cherkasy 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LNZ Cherkasy vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a LNZ Cherkasy win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split LNZ Cherkasy 59%, draw 21%, Chornomorets Odessa 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (LNZ Cherkasy), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LNZ Cherkasy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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