Kryvbas KR 0-1 Oleksandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.0pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.02/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.94
-15% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
281 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Oleksandria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
02.12.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 2-1 HT 0-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
30.07.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-0 HT 1-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
29.04.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 2-1 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
18.10.2022 Oleksandria Oleksandria 2-0 HT 1-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kryvbas KR
0-1
AWAY Oleksandria
4 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kryvbas KR vs Oleksandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria edged past Kryvbas KR 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Oleksandria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 4-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kryvbas KR and 1.25 for Oleksandria.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs Oleksandria?

Kryvbas KR 0-1 Oleksandria in the Ukraine - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs Oleksandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 35%, draw 31%, Oleksandria 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/31/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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