Polessya 1-1 Karpaty Lviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.6pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 29%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
0.81/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.13
-38% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.09.2024 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-3 HT 1-2 Polessya Polessya UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polessya
1-1
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
14 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Karpaty Lviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya and Karpaty Lviv couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Polessya at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Karpaty Lviv?

Polessya 1-1 Karpaty Lviv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Karpaty Lviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Polessya 47%, draw 29%, Karpaty Lviv 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Polessya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polessya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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