Örebro 1-3 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 3 Aug 2026

📅03/08/2026 · 🕒20:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 26% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.58
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
9%
12.35
X/1
15%
5.78
X/2
10%
6.06
X/X
8%
4.87
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
15%
3.86
2/X
6%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
38%
+8.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örebro EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -7%
1.33/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.69
-20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örebro
4W-0D-0L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2026 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
02.08.2013 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-5 HT 0-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
08.04.2013 Örebro Örebro 2-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
02.03.2013 Örebro Örebro 2-0 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örebro
1-3
AWAY IFK Varnamo
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Örebro vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Varnamo got the better of Örebro 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Örebro at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, shots finished 6-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Örebro had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Örebro and 0.00 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of Örebro vs IFK Varnamo?

Örebro 1-3 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Superettan on 03/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örebro vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örebro win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Örebro 47%, draw 23%, IFK Varnamo 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Örebro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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