Chapecoense 0-0 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 3 Aug 2026

📅03/08/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 34% vs market 30.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.52
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
6%
14.95
X/1
15%
7.9
X/2
9%
4.33
X/X
12%
4.21
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.59
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+9.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 56%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.60/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.16
+121% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
10.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
13.9 Crosses 17.8
4.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.66 xG 1.21
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
261 Passes 384
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.05.2026 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
13.08.2022 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
01.05.2022 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-2 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2
25.11.2020 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-1 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2
21.08.2020 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
14.10.2019 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
0-0
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.30 xG 0.65
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
272 Passes 496
14 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 35
POST-MATCH Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chapecoense and Cruzeiro fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Cruzeiro at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.30 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chapecoense and 1.17 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro?

Chapecoense 0-0 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Cup on 03/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 31%, draw 26%, Cruzeiro 43%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cruzeiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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