Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 Agropecuario Argentino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Sep 2024

Estudiantes Caseros
1-0 HT 1-0
Agropecuario Argentino
📅03/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Estudiantes Caseros vs Agropecuario Argentino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.33
Over 2.5
31%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.0pp
32%
Draw
33%
-1.5pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
72%
-2.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
28%
+2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.8pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes Caseros v Agropecuario Argentino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.38/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.35
+13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.2

Estudiantes Caseros vs Agropecuario Argentino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
03.07.2022 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-0 HT 1-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
18.09.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-1 HT 0-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
09.05.2021 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
23.02.2020 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
03.09.2019 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 HT 1-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Agropecuario Argentino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros nicked a narrow win over Agropecuario Argentino 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estudiantes Caseros as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Caseros had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 0.17 for Agropecuario Argentino.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 Agropecuario Argentino in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 44%, draw 32%, Agropecuario Argentino 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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