Atletico Atlanta 1-0 Brown De Adrogue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.36
Over 2.5
41%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.53
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.3pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
70%
-10.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
30%
+10.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.7pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Brown De Adrogue EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.01/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.21
-21% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Atlanta
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Brown De Adrogue
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
13.04.2024 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 2-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
15.10.2023 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 2-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
05.06.2023 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-2 HT 0-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
31.07.2022 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 1-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
25.07.2015 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-2 HT 0-1 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBM
14.03.2015 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 4-1 HT 3-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Atletico Atlanta vs Brown De Adrogue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta nicked a narrow win over Brown De Adrogue 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Atlanta as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brown De Adrogue led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Atlanta and 2.17 for Brown De Adrogue.

What was the final score of Atletico Atlanta vs Brown De Adrogue?

Atletico Atlanta 1-0 Brown De Adrogue in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Atlanta vs Brown De Adrogue?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Atlanta win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atletico Atlanta 47%, draw 26%, Brown De Adrogue 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Atlanta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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