Brown De Adrogue 2-3 Atletico Atlanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.6pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.0pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brown De Adrogue EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.06/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.77
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brown De Adrogue
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Atlanta
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
15.10.2023 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 2-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
05.06.2023 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-2 HT 0-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
31.07.2022 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 1-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
25.07.2015 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-2 HT 0-1 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBM
14.03.2015 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 4-1 HT 3-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBM
25.08.2014 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Brown De Adrogue vs Atletico Atlanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta squeezed past Brown De Adrogue 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Atletico Atlanta made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brown De Adrogue had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Brown De Adrogue and 0.83 for Atletico Atlanta.

What was the final score of Brown De Adrogue vs Atletico Atlanta?

Brown De Adrogue 2-3 Atletico Atlanta in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brown De Adrogue vs Atletico Atlanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brown De Adrogue win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Brown De Adrogue 39%, draw 30%, Atletico Atlanta 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brown De Adrogue) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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