Almagro 1-1 Defensores Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Apr 2024

Almagro
1-1 HT 0-0
Defensores Unidos
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Almagro vs Defensores Unidos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almagro v Defensores Unidos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.11/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.62
-14% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Almagro vs Defensores Unidos Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Defensores Unidos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
23.04.2023 Almagro Almagro 1-0 HT 1-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Defensores Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almagro and Defensores Unidos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Almagro at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Almagro and 0.50 for Defensores Unidos.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Defensores Unidos?

Almagro 1-1 Defensores Unidos in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Defensores Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almagro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Almagro 43%, draw 32%, Defensores Unidos 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Almagro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almagro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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