Gimnasia Mendoza 2-3 Atletico Aldosivi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.0pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.6pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.35/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.27
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
277 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Atletico Aldosivi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Aldosivi edged past Gimnasia Mendoza 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnasia Mendoza at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Gimnasia Mendoza 2-3 Atletico Aldosivi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 43%, draw 35%, Atletico Aldosivi 22%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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