Nueva Chicago 0-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Apr 2024

Nueva Chicago
0-1 HT 0-0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Nueva Chicago vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
39%
2.94
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.41
Over 2.5
29%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.4pp
39%
Draw
30%
+8.8pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.4pp
71%
Under 2.5
67%
+3.5pp
29%
Over 2.5
33%
-3.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.3pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nueva Chicago v Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.36/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.90
+6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Nueva Chicago vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.10.2023 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-2 HT 0-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
04.06.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
30.08.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
25.09.2021 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-1 HT 0-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
19.05.2021 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-2 HT 0-2 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto squeezed past Nueva Chicago 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 39% / 22%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes Rio Cuarto found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nueva Chicago had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Nueva Chicago and 0.80 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Nueva Chicago 0-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 39%, draw 39%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/39/22) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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