Chaco For Ever 2-0 Atletico Rafaela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaco For Ever EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
1.36/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.00
+22% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaco For Ever
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Rafaela
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
02.10.2023 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-3 HT 1-1 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever ARJPBN
21.05.2023 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
04.09.2022 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Chaco For Ever vs Atletico Rafaela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaco For Ever beat Atletico Rafaela 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Chaco For Ever found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chaco For Ever had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chaco For Ever and 0.67 for Atletico Rafaela.

What was the final score of Chaco For Ever vs Atletico Rafaela?

Chaco For Ever 2-0 Atletico Rafaela in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaco For Ever vs Atletico Rafaela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chaco For Ever win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chaco For Ever 38%, draw 32%, Atletico Rafaela 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chaco For Ever), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chaco For Ever) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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