03/09/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
1-3
OKS vs Hillerod Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
20%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
42%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
5%
15%
Draw
9%
66%
Away Win
85%
35%
Under 2.5
22%
65%
Over 2.5
78%
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
45%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
OKS v Hillerod — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
OKS
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hillerod
EU Bookmakers 91%
-16% /
-16%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+65%
/
+16%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
39%
Ball Possession
61%
8
Total Shots
18
4
Shots on Target
8
2
Corners
6
231 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
467 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
OKS vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hillerod saw off OKS 3-1 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Hillerod as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of OKS vs Hillerod?
OKS 1-3 Hillerod in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for OKS vs Hillerod?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split OKS 19%, draw 15%, Hillerod 66%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Hillerod)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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